Wednesday Nifty  was again trading sideways near the 5120 level , a pause in uptrend.  Nifty established  5100 as intra day support. Oil & Gas stocks were strongest for the day. Global market trend was up during  Indian stock market hours.

Observations:

• A compressed day is  formed on Nifty chart. Expecting 2 to 8% move in coming days.
• Market is overbought in short term. High chances of short term downtrend.
• 5200 is important resistance zone for Nifty.
• 5400 is looking impossible at present , but any upside  is possible in intermediate uptrend , so be ready.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 1.10

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is up. Intermediate trend is UP.

Intermediate trend of market will turn DOWN if market closes bellow 4805 & 16075 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty are  5050 , 4950 ,  4840 , 4800 ,4690 , 4650 , 4470, 4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 5120 , 5160 , 5195  , 5220 , 5240 , 5330 ,5400,  5570.

Best Buy For Thursday : IDFC  with SL bellow 160.

Monday Nifty opened with optimism & a gap of about 60 points but again sellers were dominant near 4920 level. It resulted in a fall from that level to 4850. Certainly there is change in the sentiment of the short term bulls who enjoied the rally from 4670 to 4930. Nifty established 4890 , 4850 as intra day support. Consumer Durable stocks & Reality stocks were weakest for the day. Global market trend was direction less  during  Indian stock market hours.

Observations:

• Important moving average lines are acting as resistance in the zone of 4920 to 4970.
• Moderate chances of Market  testing 4950 on Nifty , the level above which the intermediate trend will turn up.
• 4500 zone on Nifty is an important target for this intermediate downtrend.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 0.450

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is down. Intermediate trend is DOWN.

Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 4950 & 16553 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty are 4840 , 4800 ,4690 , 4650 , 4470, 4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 4950 , 4985 ,5060, 5180 , 5130 ,5240 , 5330 , 5570.

Breakout  Stocks of the day : Idea.

Observations:

• RIL is relatively weaker than Nifty.
• 4840 level on  Nifty is very important resistance &  may face heavy selling.
• Intra day rallies  might  be used for loss booking  by trapped bulls.
• 4500 zone on Nifty is an important target for this downtrend.
• The fall  in Nifty from 19  Jan 2010 is the sharpest in last four months.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 3.20

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is up. Intermediate trend is DOWN.

Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 4950 & 16553 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty are 4730 ,4690 , 4650 , 4470, 4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 4800 , 4840 ,4945 , 4985 , 5180 , 5130 ,5240 , 5330 , 5570.

Breakout  Stocks of the day : Grasim.

- Nishant Kalaskar.

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Observations:

• Pause in intermediate downtrend seems to be over.
• Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 4950 & 16553 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.
• Important support of 5000 level has been  broken decisively on Nifty.
• The fall  in Nifty from 19  Jan 2010 is the sharpest in last four months.
• 4650 important support for Nifty. Its 200 day average price of Nifty.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 0.20

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is down. Intermediate trend is DOWN.

Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 4950 & 16553 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty are  4840 ,  4800 , 4730 , 4 690 , 4650 , 4470,  4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 4945 , 4985 , 5180 , 5130 ,5240 , 5330 , 5570.

Breakout  Stocks of the day : Rpower , ACC.

- Nishant Kalaskar.

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Observations:

• Market is Overbought  in short term. Some stocks may face selling pressure tomorrow.
• Nifty may test 50EMA which is 5050. Decisive closing above it is indication of  institutional interest.
• Important support of 5000 level has been  broken decisively on Nifty.
• The fall  in Nifty from 19  Jan 2010 is the sharpest in last four months.
• 4650 important support for Nifty. Its 200 day average price of Nifty.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 6.60

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is up. Intermediate trend is DOWN.

Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 5290 & 17712 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty are  4840 ,  4800 , 4730 , 4 690 , 4650 , 4470,  4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 4945 , 4985 , 5180 , 5130 ,5240 , 5330 , 5570.

Breakout  Stocks of the day : HDFC .

- Nishant Kalaskar.

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Observations:

• Important support of 5000 level is broken decisively on Nifty today.  There is threat of bear market.
• Today’s Volatility highest in last one month.
• The fall  in Nifty from 19  Jan 2010 is the sharpest in last four months.
• Last Friday market has given Poor weekly closing with long term impact.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 0.05

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is down. Intermediate trend is DOWN.

Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 5290 & 17712 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty   4840 ,  4800 ,4730 , 4 690 , 4650 , 4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 4935 ,4985 ,5180 , 5130 ,5240 , 5330 , 5570.

Breakout  Stocks of the day : SBI , Tata Steel , Ibulls Real .

- Nishant Kalaskar.

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SUBSCRIBE Swing Trading Calls

We are holding Nifty 5200 Put  Option & Nifty 5300 Put Option from Wednesday ,  20 Jan 10 morning!

Observations:

• This Friday market has given Poor weekly closing with long term impact.
• The uptrend  in Nifty from  November 09  has  lost the steam  as  compared to the rise in Nifty  till November 2009.
• Trendline support near 5000 for Nifty on weekly chart.
• Protecting 75 % of total profit is the best strategy for investors.

Market Technicals:

Market Breadth : 0.07

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is down. Intermediate trend is DOWN.

Intermediate trend of market will turn UP if market closes above 5290 & 17712 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty  4985 ,4935 , 4840 ,  4800 ,4730 ,  4 690 , 4665 , 4050 , 3300 .

Resistance levels for Nifty are 5080 ,5180 , 5130 ,5240 , 5330 , 5570.

Breakout  Stocks of the day : L&T .

Reading Glossary is recommended for better understanding of this column.

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SUBSCRIBE Swing Trading Calls

Subscribers are holding Nifty 5200 Put  Option & Nifty 5300 Put Option from Wednesday ,  20 Jan 10 morning!

Long term indicators not supporting the  Nifty’s up move on weekly charts.

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Market Breadth : -

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is up.   Intermediate trend is UP.

Intermediate trend of market will turn DOWN if market closes bellow 5160 & 17323 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty 5180 , 5130 , 5080 , 4985 , 4800 , 4 700.

Resistance levels for Nifty are 5240 , 5330 , 5570 , 5630 ,  5740,5825 , 5950 , 6200

Breakout  Stocks of the day : MRPL.

Reading Glossary is recommended for better understanding of this column.

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Compressed bar formed on Nifty chart. Market to take decisive move in coming days.

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Market Breadth : 1.05

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is up.   Intermediate trend is UP.

Intermediate trend of market will turn DOWN if market closes bellow 5160 & 17323 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty 5180 , 5130 , 5080 , 4985 , 4800 , 4 700.

Resistance levels for Nifty are 5240 , 5330 , 5570 , 5630 ,  5740,5825 , 5950 , 6200

Breakout  Stocks of the day : ABB.

Reading Glossary is recommended for better understanding of this column.

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Pause in the uptrend. Bank Nifty has remained weaker than Nifty in this uptrend.

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Market Breadth : 0.60

Market Trends : Short  term trend of market is DOWN. Intermediate trend is UP.

Intermediate trend of market will turn DOWN if market closes bellow 5160 & 17323 for Nifty & Sensex respectively.

Support levels for Nifty 5240 , 5180 , 4985 , 4800 , 4 700.

Resistance levels for Nifty are  5330 , 5570 , 5630 ,  5740,5825 , 5950 , 6200

Breakout  Stocks of the day : Tech Mahindra , DLF.

Reading Glossary is recommended for better understanding of this column.

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